One name
frequently mentioned is Senate Minority Leader John Cherry of Clio,
who would provide some legislative experience for the ticket.
Mr.
Posthumus said he is in no hurry to select a running mate, and has a
long list to consider of people who meet his top qualification of
being prepared to be governor. He repeated that statement twice when
asked if the field could potentially include a pro-choice candidate,
but also added he has worked to make sure the party accepts
differences and has a track record of hiring qualified staff members
regardless of their position on that issue.
Still, he
said abortion will be a big issue of difference, among many. "She
believes in partial birth abortion," he said. "I don't. She
believes in changing (school finance) Proposal A; I don't. I believe
in the (concealed weapons) law; she hasn't."
THE
BREAKDOWN: According to exit polls, Ms. Granholm did the best
among Republican women voting in the Democratic primary, with 73
percent of those voting backing her. She did next best among
independent men, getting 64 percent of their votes. Third were
independent women, giving 53 percent. Ironically she only polled 42
percent of Democratic women.
The basic
gender split was not that great. Overall, 45 percent of the women
voting backed Ms. Granholm, while 38 percent of the men voting backed
her.
Age
played little difference as well. A total of 42 percent of those
over 40 backed her, while 41 percent of those under 40 backed her.
She did slightly better with Baby Boomers, 45 percent, than with the
Silent Majority, 43 percent. She did the worst with the G.I.
generation, the oldest group, netting just 28 percent of their votes.
Regionally, she owned the southwestern part of the state, winning 82
percent of the Democratic votes, and won 79 percent of the Democratic
votes cast in the Grand Rapids area. She did the worse in the
Democratic stronghold of metro Detroit, getting 34 percent to Mr.
Bonior's 35 percent.
While her
stance on abortion became an issue in the race, she ironically did
better with pro-lifers than with pro-choice voters-45 percent to 42
percent. And she heavily outpolled Mr. Bonior, the only pro-life
Democrat running.
Ultimately, Ms. Granholm did worst with black men, getting 27 percent,
than any other group. Those voters split evenly, 36 percent each,
between Mr. Bonior and Mr. Blanchard.
NEWCOMER
SEEMS TO STUN GARZA; HOUSE G.O.P. INCUMBENTS WIN
For the
first time in six years, an incumbent seeking re-election to the House
of Representatives appears to have been defeated by voters as Rep.
Belda Garza of Detroit suffered a likely surprising loss in the 12th
District Democratic primary to well-funded newcomer Steve Tobocman of
Detroit.
With all
precincts reporting, Mr. Tobocman led Ms. Garza by 199 votes-but none
of the absentee ballots had been counted because of problems with
tabulating absentee ballots in Detroit. Mr. Tobocman was not
declaring victory and Ms. Garza could not be reached for comment, but
Democratic observers said at about 2:30 a.m. Wednesday that they
expected Mr. Tobocman to prevail.
Mr.
Tobocman caught Ms. Garza off-guard by outspending her by more than
two-to-one and waging an aggressive door-to-door campaign in the
diverse southwest Detroit district. Ms. Garza would become the first
House incumbent to be denied re-election since 1996 when three
incumbents fell in the primary and three more in the general election.
But the
four Republican incumbents who faced tough primary challenges all
prevailed: James Koetje (R-Walker), Mike Pumford (R-Newaygo), John
Stewart (R-Plymouth) and Barb Vander Veen (R-Allendale).
Tuesday's
races also determined the Democratic and Republican nominees in
districts that will be key to determining which party controls the
House in 2003-04. Republicans control the House 58-51 with one
reliably Democratic vacancy slated to be filled Tuesday.
And there
were some surprises in the open seat races. There will be at least
52 new members in the House next term. A cliffhanger is unfolding in
the 47th House District where Livingston County
Commissioner David Domas unofficially won by one vote over upstart Joe
Hune, a member of the House clerk staff, in a race that will assuredly
see a recount. Toolroom engineer John Stahl of Arcadia Township also
surprised Republicans by winning the 82nd District GOP
primary in Lapeer County. And while Michelle McManus won the GOP
nomination in the 35th Senate District, her dad Mike
McManus suffered a surprising upset in the 104th House
District to Howard Walker of Peninsula Township, a former Traverse
City school board member.
Mr.
Tobocman said he was surprised the 12th District race was
close, saying he expected to win by a more comfortable margin.
"We
worked our asses off," he said. "We knocked on 7,000 doors. Nobody
had done that around here in a long time. ... We spoke a vision of
basic representation, and it really caught fire."
Detroit
political observers and Democrats said Ms. Garza appeared to be
unprepared for such a stiff challenge and did not rev up her campaign
until July.
Mr.
Stewart savored his win, which was somewhat of an upset considering
the money spent against him and the loss of moderate Republican voters
who voted in the Democratic primary for Jennifer Granholm, who lives
in the 20th District. Conservative Jonathon Grant of
Plymouth waged a tough campaign-aided by Stewart enemy Rep. Bruce
Patterson (R-Canton)-but Mr. Stewart prevailed by a 57 to 43 percent
margin.
"I worked
very hard. I knew my district," he said. "I know my people.
Plymouth is not for sale."
Nine of
Mr. Stewart's fellow House Republicans took the rare step of endorsing
Mr. Grant. Mr. Stewart said, "We've got to go back to the rules"
where incumbents back each other.
Mr. Grant
said he learned important lessons in this his first campaign and vowed
to challenge Mr. Stewart again in 2004, noting there are 728 days
until the primary that year.
"I'm just
warming up. I learned a lot this time," he said.
Rep. Barb
Vander Veen of Allendale scored a crushing 64 percent to 36 percent
victory-and a surprising rout-in the 89th House District
Republican primary over Sen. Leon Stille of Grand Haven Township.
Despite being the incumbent, Ms. Vander Veen as a first-term
legislator entered the race as an underdog against the veteran Mr.
Stille, who ran for the House because he was barred by term limits
from seeking re-election to the Senate.
But the
race's dynamics changed dramatically when Mr. Stille was caught
illegally dumping trash in a school dumpster and not initially
acknowledging the transgression.
"One of
the biggest things is just that we worked very hard," Ms. Vander Veen
said.
The
dumpster incident "hurt him" although it is hard to gauge whether the
flap was decisive, Ms. Vander Veen said. It did come up frequently
as she visited voters' homes, she said.
Mr.
Stille downplayed the impact of his faux pas. "I don't think it
played much at all really. It was a 20-second decision that blew
up," he said.
Intervention by Betsy DeVos' Great Lakes Education Project political
action committee and voters' distaste for a senator challenging a
representative most likely caused his defeat, Mr. Stille said.
"There
were probably several things-not the least of which was Betsy DeVos'
money and intervention into the race," he said. "Number two: people
looking at a senator stepping down and running against a
representative and reacting to that."
In the
100th House District, Mr. Pumford was fuming about the
campaign run against him even as he celebrated a smashing
victory-winning 58 percent of the vote to 33 percent for businessman
David Noble and 9 percent for John Herremans. Ms. DeVos' PAC and the
Michigan Chamber of Commerce published numerous mailings attacking Mr.
Pumford and aiding Mr. Noble, his principal opponent. Mr. Pumford
said every day for the last two weeks his opponents have "trashed"
him.
"Quite
frankly, we're kicking their ass two-to-one," Mr. Pumford said.
"They just brought out everything they had. ... We have not printed
one negative mailing. We've taken the high road."
In the 86th
House District, Mr. Koetje staved off a tough challenge from three
opponents in a mostly new district for the second-term House member.
After trailing at one point in the evening, Mr. Koetje won with 34
percent of the vote to 28 percent for Bob Eleveld of Grand Rapids
Township, 20 percent for physician Wayne Creelman of Grand Rapids
Township and 18 percent for Ada attorney Ross Leisman.
"We were
right on the issues," Mr. Koetje said. "We worked as hard or harder
than anybody."
The race
was a high-spending one with Mr. Koetje's challengers outspending
him. Mr. Koetje moved from Grandville to Walker to run for the seat
so he could continue representing a principally Kent County seat. It
also allowed him to avoid an uphill battle against Sen. William Van
Regenmorter (R-Hudsonville), who is running for the 74th
House District, which contains Grandville.
"It was
quite a challenge-no doubt about that," he said.
House
Speaker Rick Johnson (R-LeRoy) said he was thrilled that all
Republicans seeking re-election won renomination, crediting hard work
and an incumbent-friendly mood.
"They
just did the work it takes," he said. "They went out and met the
public in their districts. I love it."
Mr.
Johnson said House Republicans in particular were thrilled with Ms.
Vander Veen winning. "Barb is a hard worker," he said. "She got
out certainly in the year and a half she's been (in the House)."
House
Minority Leader Buzz Thomas (D-Detroit) could not be reached for
comment. House Democratic spokesperson Dennis Denno said the caucus
was "disappointed" with Ms. Garza's loss.
Overall,
Mr. Denno said Democrats saw a theme of moderate candidates winning up
and down the ticket-candidates like Mr. Stewart, John J. Hertel in the
32nd District and Jennifer Elkins in the 97th
District. Of Mr. Stewart's victory, Mr. Denno said, "Here you have
the Republican establishment supporting Jon Grant and voters basically
slapped the Republican establishment in the face."
Looking
ahead to the fall, Mr. Denno said Democrats have a good crop of
candidates for the fall. Mr. Johnson also touted GOP candidates.
A look at
the primaries that will shape the key general election battles:
17th: Republican
former Wayne County Commissioner Kathleen Husk of Redford and
Democratic Dearborn Heights City Council President Dan Paletko made
surprisingly easy work of their opposition and advanced to the general
election.
21st: Republican
Canton Township Trustee Phil LaJoy and Democratic Plymouth-Canton
school board member Mark Slavens defeated their primary opposition and
advance to the general election.
23rd: Gibraltar
City Councilmember Kathleen Law scored a minor upset, defeating other
Democrats who had big endorsements on their side. She will face
Grosse Ile Supervisor Doug Jones, who was unopposed for the GOP
nomination.
24th: Republican
businessman Jack Brandenburg of Harrison Township crushed St. Clair
Shores City Councilmember Bill Nearon and will be favored to defeat
Democratic former St. Clair Shores Councilmember Frank Benson.
32nd: John
J. Hertel crushed his Democratic opposition and advances to face
Republican businessman Dan Acciavatti, who defeated two opponents.
37th: Valerie
Knol completed her tough campaign and defeated Oakland County
Commissioner Terry Sever in the Republican primary. She advances to
face Democratic former Farmington Hills Mayor Aldo Vagnozzi in a
top-tier general election.
52nd: Attorney
Pam Byrnes, a Washtenaw County road commissioner, narrowly defeated
attorney David Nacht of Ann Arbor and moves on to face Rep. Gene
DeRossett (R-Manchester) in the fall.
55th: Matt
Milosch of Bedford soundly defeated two Republican opponents and
advances to face Democratic Monroe County Commissioner Gail
Hauser-Hurley of Bedford.
63rd: Kalamazoo
County Commissioner Lorence Wenke topped three Republican opponents
and will face Democratic Pennfield Township Supervisor Judy Mackinder.
91st: Real
estate broker and former lobbyist David Farhat of Fruitport won the
Republican nomination and will take on Democratic Muskegon County
Commissioner Nancy Frye in what will be a hotly contested general
election. Mr. Farhat comfortably defeated former Mona Shores Public
Schools Superintendent Ken Walcott in the Republican primary.
97th: Clare
County Commissioner Jennifer Elkins of Lake scored a minor upset by
defeating Rex Gibson and Deb Zarazua in the Democratic primary. Ms.
Elkins moves on to face Republican David Coker of Clare County's
Surrey Township. Mr. Coker comfortably defeated fellow Republicans
Timothy Jay and Ron Actis.
106th: Attorney
Matt Gillard of Alpena narrowly defeated party-switcher Roy Spangler
in the Democratic primary and advances to face Grayling Mayor David
Wyman, who emerged from a six-way Republican primary.
TIGHT
RACES BUT FEW SURPRISES IN SENATE ELECTIONS
The races
expected to be tight in the Senate primaries largely did not
disappoint, but major surprises were few as results trickled in
throughout the night. Only one incumbent appeared headed to defeat,
as Sen. Ray Murphy (D-Detroit) could not overcome the challenge from
Rep. Hansen Clarke (D-Detroit).
The
results in the 21st District were in question late into the
evening, but with the results from Berrien County finally coming in,
Rep. Ron Jelinek (R-Three Oaks) defeated Rep. Bob Brackenridge.
And in
three of the tightest-and toughest fought-races, three women
candidates bested their male opponents. Rep. Nancy Cassis (R-Novi)
defeated Rep. Mike Kowall (R-White Lake) for the Republican nomination
in the 15th Senate District.
In the 24th
Senate District, Rep. Patricia Birkholz (R-Saugatuck) won by an easy
margin over former Rep. Terry Geiger.
And Sen.
Shirley Johnson (R-Royal Oak) held off a ferocious challenge by Rep.
Bob Gosselin (R-Troy) in one the ugliest races in the state in the 13th
District.
One of
the most striking aspects of the primary results is that the number of
women in the Senate in November will more than double, to at least 12,
given the victories of women candidates in seats where the primary
essentially governs the outcome of the race.
Results
were slow in coming from many areas of the state, especially in the
Metro Detroit area. In lieu of hard numbers, rumors sometimes
floated. One of the more outrageous rumors had Ms. Johnson in
serious trouble against Mr. Gosselin, a rumor that was not borne
out. Another rumor had Ms. Cassis beating Mr. Kowall by only some 80
votes when her margin was more comfortable.
Mr.
Murphy's defeat means he ends a legislative career that is 20 years
long. First elected to the House in 1992, he was elected to the
Senate in 1998 succeeding former Sen. Henry Stallings who had resigned
after being convicted on felony charges (later reduced to a
misdemeanor). He is the assistant minority floor leader.
The
results in selected districts are:
1st
District: Mr. Clarke defeated Mr. Murphy by a surprisingly large
margin. With 63 percent reporting, Mr. Hansen had 48 percent to Mr.
Murphy's 32 percent, with the other candidates splitting the
difference. Officials had said Mr. Murphy was feeling confident
enough of victory to cancel a radio ad buy planned for the final
weekend, but he was running in a largely new district and Mr. Clarke
had more of the area from his House seat.
2nd
District: Sen. Martha Scott (D-Highland Park) easily held off a
major challenge from Rep. LaMar Lemmons (D-Detroit) winning the
primary with 46 percent of the vote to his 30 percent with 58 percent
reporting. Three other candidates divided the remainder of the
tally. In a somewhat poignant reminder of the disastrous financial
condition of Ms. Scott's hometown of Highland Park, vote totals there
were handled by volunteers since the city has had to eliminate its
paid clerk staff.
4th
District: House Democratic Leader Buzz Thomas was leading for the
nomination, after fighting off an unexpectedly tough campaign from
Monica Conyers, wife to U.S. Rep. John Conyers (D-Detroit). With 60
percent reporting, he had 54 percent of the vote to her 36 percent,
with two other candidates splitting the remainder.
5th
District: Incumbent Sen. Burton Leland (D-Detroit) was never in
danger against Rep. Derrick Hale (D-Detroit) in a race that featured
two candidates who did not like each other. With 60 percent of the
vote reporting, Mr. Leland had 60 percent of the total. While he
held a solid lead in the Detroit precincts in the district, Mr. Leland
crushed Mr. Hale in the Dearborn section of the district, winning some
75 percent of the vote there.
10th
District: Some observers were saying as balloting began that the
race could be tight, despite earlier indications that Rep. Mickey
Switalski (D-Roseville) had run a better campaign than former Rep.
Sharon Gire and long-shot Roger Maceroni. But as soon as votes were
being counted Mr. Switalski took a commanding lead, at one point with
some 75 percent of the vote with Ms. Gire holding about 14 percent.
She was expected to win Clinton Township, but it was unlikely she
could win it by a wide enough margin to overcome that lead. With 71
percent of the vote report, Mr. Switalski had 50 percent to her 35
percent, with Mr. Maceroni pulling third.
12th
District: Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Rochester) was heavily outspent by
former Rep. David Galloway for the Republican nomination, but with 98
percent of the vote counted was leading with a nearly 8,000-vote
margin. He called the nomination victory a tribute to volunteer help
and an "old-fashioned grass roots campaign."
13th
District: The race for the GOP nomination here was one of the
most brutal in the state, but Ms. Johnson declared victory over Mr.
Gosselin by some 2,300 votes. Ms. Johnson's chief of staff, Brian
O'Connell, said the win "means Macomb County politics and Bob
Gosselin's negative campaign and lies, and the libertarians who want
to take over the Republican Party, have failed."
15th
District: In another fiercely fought campaign, Ms. Cassis won by
about 1,000 votes over Mr. Kowall. David Wolkinson, who tried to
strike an ideological difference in the race, came in a distant third.
16th
District: Rep. Cameron Brown (R-Sturgis) showed surprising
strength against Rep. Steve Vear (R-Hillsdale) and appeared headed to
an easy victory in a race that many thought the more conservative Mr.
Vear would win, especially with the help the Hillsdale resident got
from the Betsy DeVos' organization, the Great Lakes Education
Project. With 114 of 115 precincts reporting, Mr. Brown was leading
by some 3,900 votes over Mr. Vear.
18th
District: Former Rep. Liz Brater defeated Rep. John Hansen
(D-Dexter) for the right to carry the Democratic banner in the
Washtenaw County seat. While she will face Republican Gordon Darr,
also of Dexter, in November, Ms. Brater should win the seat easily,
marking the third consecutive woman to represent the area in the
Senate after former Sen. Lana Pollack and Sen. Alma Smith (D-Salem
Township).
20th
District: Rep. Jerry Vander Roest (R-Galesburg) had hoped to
succeed his former boss, Sen. Dale Shugars (R-Portage) in the seat,
but Rep. Tom George (R-Portage) appeared to hold him off. With just
over 50 percent of the precincts reporting, Mr. George had about a
2,000-vote edge over Mr. Vander Roest. Mr. George will now face
former Rep. Ed LaForge in a race Democrats hold out some hope of
winning.
21st
District: In a race that was closely watched over a battle of
endorsements, former Mr. Brackenridge declared himself the winner over
Mr. Jelinek and Steven Goforth. But in the pre-dawn hours, with the
results finally tallied Mr. Jelinek was the winner by some 800 votes.
23rd
District: Almost from the moment the votes were counted, former
Rep. Lingg Brewer said he had lost the Democratic nomination to Rep.
Virg Bernero (D-Lansing) since the first results came from out-county
Ingham County where Mr. Brewer's strength lay. With 100 percent of
the results in, Mr. Bernero crushed Mr. Brewer by nearly 20 percentage
points. He now faces Rep. Paul DeWeese (R-Williamston) in the
general election.
24th
District: It was a seesaw battle to start with, as the lead
switched several times between Ms. Birkholz and Mr. Geiger, but as the
night wore on Ms. Birkholz took a lead and never relinquished it to
Mr. Geiger and political newcomer Joe Wicks. With just four
precincts remaining to be tallied, she led Mr. Geiger by some 2,600
votes.
33rd
District: Former Rep. Alan Cropsey headed to victory for the GOP
nomination over former Rep. Jim McBryde and longshot Dennis Stewart.
Mr. McBryde had generated the bulk of endorsements and had appeared to
score some ideological points against Mr. Cropsey by tying him to the
Michigan Trial Lawyers Association, but in the end Mr. Cropsey's
network of conservative supporters held on. With 100 percent of the
vote in, Mr. Cropsey won the nomination with 50 percent.
35th
District: Former Rep. Michelle McManus was declared the winner
in the battle between she and Rep. David Mead (R-Frankfort). Morris
Langworthy Jr. was also running in the seat. The race was also one
highlighted by the role the GLEP played, which came in heavily on Ms.
McManus's side. With nearly 100 percent in, Ms. McManus had 49
percent of the vote to Mr. Mead's 35 percent.
36th
District: With 88 percent of the vote counted, Rep. Tony Stamas
(R-Midland) won with 46 percent of the vote over two former
legislators: Rep. Allen Lowe's 39 percent and Bev Bodem's 15 percent.
38th
District: Former Rep. Mike Prusi crushed Rep. Doug Bovin
(D-Gladstone) for the nomination in this Democratic stronghold. With
88 percent of the vote counted, Mr. Prusi had 64 percent of the vote.
DINGELL
DECLARES VICTORY; UPTON MAKES STRONG SHOWING
One of
the most watched U.S. House races in the country ended with U.S. Rep.
John Dingell (D-Dearborn) declaring victory over opponent U.S. Rep.
Lynn Rivers (D-Ann Arbor) about 10:30 p.m. The other primary of
interest involving an incumbent went easily to U.S. Fred Upton (R-St.
Joseph) as he brushed aside another conservative in Sen. Dale Shugars
(R-Portage).
Projected
results gave Mr. Dingell 55 percent and Ms. Rivers 44 percent, leading
Ms. Rivers to concede. And the result likely means a return for Mr.
Dingell to Congress in the district designed by the Republican-led
Legislature to pit the two incumbents against each other.
There is
a Republican running in November, Martin Kaltenbach of Dearborn, but
Mr. Dingell is likely to be returned to the chamber he has served for
47 years.
"The
people of the 15th District care a lot about the issues Mr.
Dingell does: health care, the environment, education, jobs,
prescription drugs and effectiveness," said Laura Sheehan, Dingell
spokesperson.
"Tonight
we stop being independent campaigns. Tomorrow we become a Democratic
Party," Ms. Rivers said.
"We ran a
great race," said Rivers spokesperson Matt Burgess. "Lynn Rivers is
not done in public life."
What her
future will hold Mr. Burgess said was not sure and he said would not
be decided until she had gotten some sleep tonight.
The race
was seen nationally as a struggle between a Congressional powerhouse
against a younger, more liberal opponent and involved top celebrities,
congressional leaders and interest groups.
UPTON-SHUGARS: Mr. Upton will likely be returning to Congress,
having taken nearly 70 percent of the vote in the largely Republican 6th
District.
Mr. Upton
said his accomplishments and his stance on the issues attracted
voters.
"People
responded to the issues," he said. "I think the district wanted a
steady hand. We've got some tough times with the war,
unemployment. As a member of the majority, I've been a supporter of
virtually every issue before the House."
His
opponent, Mr. Shugars, in contrast, had "been a good no vote and he
hasn't been a player in terms of getting things done as part of the
leadership team," Mr. Upton said.
Mr. Upton
said attacks aimed at him had also backfired.
Mr.
Shugars had anticipated that the heavily conservative area would turn
to him on the basis of his anti-abortion record and his support for
gun rights.
Mr. Upton
had been blasted for supporting legislation in the mid-1990s that
limited ownership of automatic weapons. In a second, ironic victory,
Tuesday, the Sixth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals upheld the
constitutionality of the law.
SCHUETTE, CAVANAGH VIE FOR
COURT OF APPEALS
With
nearly 50 percent of the early primary vote, Sen. Bill Schuette
(R-Midland) appeared to be the one to beat going into the November
election. And it appeared that Lansing attorney James Cavanagh would
be the one to make that challenge, though by a much narrower margin.
The two
won the nominations to run for the new seat in the Court of Appeals
fourth district.
"I'm
really grateful for the exceptionally strong showing in the primary
this evening," Mr. Schuette said. "But it's just half time, so it on
to November."
Though he
said his advertising spending, which far exceeded the combined
spending of his opponents Mr. Cavanagh and 55th District
Court Judge Thomas Brennan Jr., helped to boost his numbers, he said
his efforts to attract support from both Republicans and Democrats.
"What I
tried to do was build bipartisan bridges for a nonpartisan job," he
said. But he said he also had support from judges around the state.